Urea prices in China are stable to slightly lower this week on government and industry guidance to keep prices stable. Prices were stable, or down 10-20 yuan per ton, with Anhui around 1800 yuan per ton, and most prices under 1850 yuan per ton. Several fertilizer sources are reporting that exports of phosphate and fertilizers… Continue reading Urea prices stable to lower as government enforces guidance
Author: Darin Friedrichs
Brazil soy shipments to China still above 2MMT/week
Brazil loaded 2.2 million tons of soybeans to China last week, up slightly from the week before. US shipments picked up slightly out of the PNW but were stable from the Gulf. Since the start of the year, Brazil has loaded 11.1 million tons of soybeans to China, up 1% compared to this time last… Continue reading Brazil soy shipments to China still above 2MMT/week
Wheat prices continue higher to key level
Wheat prices in Hubei were up 10 yuan per ton over the past week to the highest level since July 2024. Part of what is driving higher wheat prices is increased demand for feed. Large feed companies are reportedly purchasing wheat at 2580-2640 yuan per ton, up 40-60 yuan since the start of the month.… Continue reading Wheat prices continue higher to key level
Futures Recap
Hog futures fell sharply, with the May contract down over 3%. For rolling front-month futures, this is the lowest that hog futures have traded since being listed in 2021. The selling was mostly limited to the front end of the curve. July futures were down 1.5% but didn’t make new lows, and the September contract… Continue reading Futures Recap
New website dashboards for trade data
I’ve added two new dashboards to the data website for imports and exports. These require a login, so if you have any trouble logging in, just send me an email. China Ag Import Dashboard China Ag Export Dashboard The dashboards have monthly data, yearly totals, calculated CNF and FOB prices, and the market share of… Continue reading New website dashboards for trade data
Excess soil moisture declines in wheat regions
Temperatures in agricultural areas were 1-4C higher than normal over the past week. Weather conditions were generally good in winter wheat areas in northern China, with some light rainfall, and temperatures close to average. 44% of Henan has excessive soil moisture, but this is down from 52% last week. 37% of Shandong has excessive soil… Continue reading Excess soil moisture declines in wheat regions
Hog prices fall to lowest level since before African Swine Fever
At the end of last week, the price of whole hog carcasses at Beijing’s Xinfadi wholesale market was 12.90 yuan per KG, down 4.8% on the week, down 16.8% over the past month, and down 25.2% over the past year. This is the lowest average price at the market since May 2018. Demand from the… Continue reading Hog prices fall to lowest level since before African Swine Fever
Sinograin increases volume for wheat auctions; changes participation rules
For the upcoming national reserve wheat auction, Sinograin has increased the volume to 500k tons, up from 300k tons previously. It has also loosened rules on participation. Since Sinograin restarted the auctions this year, the four auctions in January had listed volumes of 200k tons each week. The amount purchased was relatively strong, with 70%… Continue reading Sinograin increases volume for wheat auctions; changes participation rules
US-China trade; futures recap
US-China trade meetings going ahead, but China rebukes US over 301 tariffs At a press briefing on Friday, the Ministry of Commerce said that He Lifeng, Vice Premier of the State Council, would lead a delegation to meet their US counterparts for trade negotiations in France from March 14-17. The ministry was also asked about… Continue reading US-China trade; futures recap
Hog price fall and corn rally triggers government warnings
Guangdong province announced that the hog:corn price ratio in the province had now reached the First-Level warning range for excessive decline. The hog:corn price ratio is monitored by the government as a measure of excessive rises or declines in hog prices, and the financial state of hog operations. In Guandong, this has reached 4.67:1, which… Continue reading Hog price fall and corn rally triggers government warnings