Temperatures across agricultural areas in China were 1-4C higher than normal over the past week. Much of the northern wheat belt saw precipitation of 25-50mm of rainfall, with some areas seeing 50-100mm. Much of Henan and the surrounding areas are now reporting excessive soil moisture at 20cm. Although the higher temperatures are positive for plant… Continue reading Wheat belt moves into excessive soil moisture
Author: Darin Friedrichs
Ag Min campaign to promote wheat growth
The Ministry of Agriculture announced it is implementing a 140-day campaign to strengthen spring field management, promote wheat seedling growth, combat weather disasters, and “secure a bumper summer harvest”. The ministry also said it was continuing its agricultural technology campaign to promote strong wheat seedlings which started back in November. This includes expert guidance groups… Continue reading Ag Min campaign to promote wheat growth
China slashes anti-dumping duty on Canadian canola
After removing tariffs on Canadian canola meal and oil on Friday, China announced it was dramatically reducing its anti-dumping duty on Canadian rapeseed. In its announcement, the Ministry of Commerce determined that Canadian canola was being dumped into China, and this caused material injury to the domestic rapeseed market. Because of this, the ministry announced… Continue reading China slashes anti-dumping duty on Canadian canola
Protein price update; futures recap
Protein Price Update Futures Recap Corn prices moved higher on Friday and were up nearly another 1% in the overnight session. Prices are at the highest level since July 2025 and are up 62 yuan per ton since resuming trading following the holiday…. Subscriber content: Sitonia Consulting provides market intelligence on Chinese agricultural markets.… Continue reading Protein price update; futures recap
Ag Min talks production increases in State Council meeting
China’s State Council held a press conference on Friday on handling suggestions from the National People’s Congress and included representatives from the Ministry of Agriculture, the Ministry of Science and Technology, the Ministry of Commerce, and the State Administration for Market Regulation. The Ministry of Agriculture said it would increase its efforts to raise production… Continue reading Ag Min talks production increases in State Council meeting
China lifts some anti-dumping duties on Canada
China’s Ministry of Commerce announced it was lifting the 100% anti-dumping duties on Canadian rapeseed meal and peas effective from March 1 through December 31, 2026. In seafood trade, the 25% duties on lobster and crabs were also lifted. There was no announcement on Canadian rapeseed. The Ministry of Commerce had previously extended its anti-dumping… Continue reading China lifts some anti-dumping duties on Canada
Rainfall forecast for wheat and rapeseed areas
Widespread rain is expected in central and eastern China from February through March 2, according to the National Meteorological Center. Areas of Henan, Shandong, Jiangsu, and Anhui are expected to see rainfall of 10-25mm, with some areas of Jiangsu and Anhui seeing up to 50mm. Winter wheat crops in northern China are mostly entering their… Continue reading Rainfall forecast for wheat and rapeseed areas
Futures Recap
No.1 domestic soybeans continued higher, reaching the highest level since May 2024. Corn futures were unchanged on Thursday with the market consolidating. The spot market has still been relatively slow to restart after the holiday, and there hasn’t been much news or market action to push futures higher or lower. Soybean meal is near the… Continue reading Futures Recap
Henan Cash Prices
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Farmers faced larger losses due to increased labor costs and lower yields in 2025
China’s national-level statistics for costs of production can be very delayed, so it can be helpful to look at very local data to get a sense of farmers’ returns. Yongqiao District is part of Suzhou in Jiangsu province, and publishes some assessments tracked by the district’s Development and Reform Commission. For corn, they estimate losses… Continue reading Farmers faced larger losses due to increased labor costs and lower yields in 2025